A new poll suggests a historic shift in South African politics. For the first time in a major survey, the Democratic Alliance (DA) has slightly edged ahead of the African National Congress (ANC).
The survey, conducted by the Institute of Race Relations (IRR) in early 2025, shows the ANC’s support falling to 29.7%. The DA is now at 30.3%. While the difference is small and within the poll’s margin of error, it signals a major change in voter sentiment.
A key finding is the DA’s increased support among black voters, which has grown significantly to 18%. Analysts say this shift is driven by voter concerns about high unemployment, the cost of living, and a proposed increase to VAT. The DA’s strong opposition to the VAT hike appears to be connecting with voters worried about their finances.
This change points to a larger trend where voters are focusing more on policies and economic issues than on traditional party loyalty. The ANC’s continued decline reflects growing public dissatisfaction with its performance.
If these trends continue, the next election could result in a coalition government, as no single party is projected to win an outright majority. The poll highlights an evolving political landscape where voters are demanding practical solutions to the country’s problems.