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Paul Mashatile’s Quiet Ascent: Can the ANC’s Deputy President Become South Africa’s Next Leader?

April 18, 2025
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Paul Mashatile’s Quiet Ascent: Can the ANC’s Deputy President Become South Africa’s Next Leader?
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As South Africa’s political landscape evolves, speculation grows about who will succeed President Cyril Ramaphosa as leader of the African National Congress (ANC). Increasingly, attention is turning to Deputy President Paul Mashatile, whose strategic positioning and quiet but deliberate maneuvers suggest he is preparing for the top job.

A veteran political operator, Mashatile has spent decades cultivating influence within the ANC. His rise to the deputy presidency in 2023—following David Mabuza’s departure—marked a pivotal moment in the party’s internal power dynamics. With deep roots in Gauteng and Limpopo, Mashatile enjoys strong support among key ANC branches, making him a leading contender in any future leadership contest.

Unlike many of his peers, Mashatile has largely avoided major corruption scandals, granting him a relative advantage in an era of declining public trust. His ability to navigate between the ANC’s radical economic transformation (RET) faction and its more moderate wing further enhances his appeal as a unifying figure in a divided party.

Yet, for all his political acumen, Mashatile remains an enigma on policy. Despite holding prominent roles—including Gauteng Finance MEC and Minister of Arts and Culture—his track record lacks bold reforms or transformative initiatives. With South Africa facing crises in unemployment, energy, and economic growth, voters may question whether he offers more than continuity.

Mashatile’s strength lies in backroom negotiation and alliance-building—skills honed over years of ANC infighting. But leading a nation demands more than internal party diplomacy. As the 2026 elections approach, he will need to articulate a clear vision to convince both ANC delegates and the broader public that he can deliver meaningful change.

The coming months will test whether Mashatile can transition from a behind-the-scenes power broker to a leader capable of inspiring a nation in desperate need of renewal. His challenge is not just to inherit the presidency—but to redefine it.

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